![]() By the way, expert players don’t recommend using an opening 6,4 roll to make a point because starting the game with a point that deep in your home table is not especially useful. Frustrating when you’re neck and neck and bearing off, but it happens. And not lottery-win, struck-by-lightning lucky, only its-sure-to-happen-sometimes lucky. It does not mean that the dice are rigged. If you play a lot of backgammon, you’re going to see your opponent get three doubles in a row once in a while. The chances of two doubles in a row is 1:36 and three doubles in a row, 1:216. It explains why people often think that the dice are against them. You shouldn’t be playing backgammon unless you can visualze this table in your head. This means that you’ll more likely make points when you have men on the board that are adjacent than when they are separated by one or more empty points. And those in turn, more common than three pip separations – 1,4 2,4 3,6 6,3 4,2 5,1. Rolls in which the dice are separated by one pip – 1,2 2,3 3,4 4,5 5,6 6,5 5,4 4,3 3,2 and 2,1 – are more common than rolls in which the dice are separated by two pips – 1,3 2,4 3,5 4,6 6,4 5,3 4,2 and 3,1. Look what happens as you move away from the top-left to lower-right diagonal. This table also shows something more subtle and interesting. That’s why it’s easier to advance out of your opponent’s one point to your safety point at his twelve point if you haven’t advanced your man to his two point. You can also see that getting a six and five – 5,6 6,5 – is twice as likely as getting double fives – 5,5 – but exactly as likely as getting either double sixes or double fives – 6,6 5,5. Sevens are found on the other diagonal and also occur six times out of thirty-six.Īny single number occurs eleven times out of thirty-six: six times on the row and six times on the column, minus once where the row and column overlap. You can see that doubles, which are found on the diagonal occur six times out of thirty-six. If you’re going to play backgammon, you have to understand this table that shows all the possible rolls of a pair of dice:Įach row is a different face of the first die and each column a different face of the second die.įirst, you can see that there are thirty-six possible outcomes. And his abysmal understanding of probability theory wouldn’t have mattered. Then he would have discovered that he got sixes just as often as the other guy. What should he have done? He should have recorded how often he rolled a six on the first roll, too. He only plays when he has a better than average chance after the first roll. This guy didn’t prove that sixes came up too often, he proved that they came up about as often as random chance would predict.īut what did he do? He said that now, whenever his opponent rolls a six on the first roll, he concludes that his opponent is cheating and he immediately abandons the game. Eleven out of thirty-six is about thirty percent. When you roll two dice, there are thirty-six possible outcomes. See his mistake? A six will come up one-sixth of the time on one die. He found that the opponents rolled a six more than thirty percent of the time when the odds should have been one-sixth of the time. The writer had recorded the number of sixes rolled on the opponent’s first roll on over 2000 games. One post stood out because it cited actual numbers. But he never does.Īlmost all of these posts about unfair dice rolls show ignorance about basic probability calculations. At best, they mention a friend of a friend who says that he could write such a program if he felt like it. None of these players can point to a site where you can actually download these mythical cheating programs yourself. ![]() From this, they infer that, somehow, the other player has a program that manipulates the dice rolls to give them doubles when they need them, rolls that let them make points more often than they should, or that block you from getting the roll required to get off the bar. Most of the people who complain about cheating, complain that the dice rolls favor the other player. Silly, ill-informed, immature discussion.Īre there ways to cheat? Maybe, but probably not the way it’s discussed on the web forums. Googling “microsoft internet backgammon cheating”, I’ve found a lot of discussion about cheating on Microsoft Internet Backgammon.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |